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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank
MU

Dorking
3 - 1
Maidenhead

Prior (27', 48'), Taylor (58')
Fuller (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adams (80' pen.)
Adams (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 2-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Maidenhead United

The sides shared the spoils when they met earlier in the season, and we think Saturday's match will have a similar outcome, with both teams struggling for form. Dorking may only have amassed seven points in their last 10 games, but they are unbeaten at home in their last three outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawMaidenhead United
42.05%24.13%33.81%
Both teams to score 60.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94%42.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54%64.45%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8%20.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5%52.49%
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63%24.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 42.05%
    Maidenhead United 33.81%
    Draw 24.13%
Dorking WanderersDrawMaidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.89%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-1 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: York City 2-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 11 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Halifax
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Dorking
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 2-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, March 4 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League


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