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National League | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
York Road Stadium
WA

Maidenhead
2 - 2
Wrexham

Smith (57'), McCoulsky (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mullin (28', 60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Maidenhead United 1-3 Wrexham

Alongside promotion rivals Notts County, the Red Dragons have been a level above the rest of the National League this season, and while Maidenhead enter Saturday's encounter in promising form, we think that they will fall short against a Wrexham side who are aiming for a seventh consecutive away victory in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawWrexham
21.86% (-0.85 -0.85) 22.79% (-0.665 -0.66) 55.35% (1.514 1.51)
Both teams to score 55.19% (1.046 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (1.932 1.93)44.47% (-1.931 -1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (1.844 1.84)66.84% (-1.844 -1.84)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (0.28999999999999 0.29)34.35% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95% (0.309 0.31)71.05% (-0.309 -0.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (1.226 1.23)15.93% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.81% (2.207 2.21)45.19% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 21.86%
    Wrexham 55.35%
    Draw 22.79%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 5.85% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.86%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.471 -0.47)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 5.65% (0.227 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.179 0.18)
1-4 @ 2.77% (0.239 0.24)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.205 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.138 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.125 0.13)
0-5 @ 0.95% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 0-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-4 Wrexham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-2 Woking
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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