SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
52.47% ( 4.51) | 23.23% ( -0.82) | 24.3% ( -3.69) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( 0.65) | 43.78% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( 0.63) | 66.17% ( -0.63) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 1.96) | 16.69% ( -1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.42% ( 3.39) | 46.58% ( -3.39) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -2.52) | 31.81% ( 2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -2.99) | 68.25% ( 2.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.81)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.77)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.46)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.47% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.68) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.63)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.64)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.36)Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.3% |
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