Wrexham have been formidable at the Racecourse Ground this season, failing to win on just one occasion, meaning that they should have no trouble at all sweeping Dorking Wanderers aside.
The visitors have not won a league away match since a 1-0 victory against Barnet in the middle of September, and there is very little chance that record changes against a side going for the league title.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.83%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.82%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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