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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
61.19% ( -0.57) | 20.25% ( 0.17) | 18.55% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% ( -0.16) | 37.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% ( -0.17) | 59.78% ( 0.17) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( -0.2) | 11.86% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.84% ( -0.43) | 37.16% ( 0.43) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0.32) | 33.64% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( 0.35) | 70.28% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.18% Total : 61.19% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.55% |
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