SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Oxford City |
49.37% ( -0.84) | 23.74% ( 0.23) | 26.88% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.58) | 43.83% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( -0.56) | 66.22% ( 0.56) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0.54) | 17.87% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( -0.93) | 48.63% ( 0.93) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.16) | 29.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( 0.19) | 65.87% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.37% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.19% Total : 26.88% |
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