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National League | Gameweek 21
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lner Community Stadium

York City
2 - 0
Oxford City

Cordner (6'), Davies (17')
John-Lewis (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 1-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-4 Oxford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawOxford City
49.37% (-0.843 -0.84) 23.74% (0.234 0.23) 26.88% (0.603 0.6)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (-0.575 -0.58)43.83% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.564 -0.56)66.22% (0.559 0.56)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.539 -0.54)17.87% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.931 -0.93)48.63% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (0.15600000000001 0.16)29.79% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (0.191 0.19)65.87% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    York City 49.37%
    Oxford City 26.88%
    Draw 23.74%
York CityDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.37%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 26.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: York City 1-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fylde 0-2 York City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chester 0-0 York City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: York City 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-0 York City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-4 Oxford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 3-2 Woking
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Oxford City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 3-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 3-0 Fylde
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League


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