SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
38.98% ( 0.03) | 24.95% ( -0.01) | 36.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( 0.04) | 45.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.04) | 67.82% ( -0.04) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.04) | 23.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.05) | 57.02% ( -0.05) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.01) | 24.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( 0.01) | 59.24% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.07% |
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