SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solihull Moors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
36.78% ( -0.27) | 24.44% ( 0.03) | 38.78% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.17) | 43.01% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( -0.17) | 65.41% ( 0.18) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.22) | 23.18% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.94% ( -0.33) | 57.06% ( 0.33) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.04) | 22.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 0.06) | 55.54% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.78% |
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