Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.