Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 82.63%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.86%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
