SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Eastleigh |
32.34% ( 0.11) | 25.18% ( 0.04) | 42.48% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.17) | 47.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( -0.15) | 69.51% ( 0.15) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.01) | 27.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( -0.01) | 63.35% ( 0.01) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.15) | 22.21% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% ( -0.22) | 55.62% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.48% |
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