SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
49.89% ( -0.48) | 23.84% ( -0.13) | 26.27% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 1.07) | 44.73% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 1.02) | 67.09% ( -1.02) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( 0.22) | 18.01% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.11% ( 0.38) | 48.88% ( -0.38) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( 1.05) | 30.73% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( 1.22) | 66.99% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.27% |
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