SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
51.19% ( 0.05) | 23.47% ( -0.01) | 25.33% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.02) | 43.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( 0.02) | 66.29% ( -0.02) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( 0.03) | 17.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.52% ( 0.05) | 47.48% ( -0.04) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.01) | 31.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( -0.02) | 67.34% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.33% |
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