SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Maidstone United |
68.72% ( -0.02) | 17.71% ( 0.01) | 13.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0) | 35.44% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( 0) | 57.48% ( -0) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.63% ( -0) | 9.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.45% ( -0.01) | 31.54% ( 0.01) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( 0.02) | 38.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( 0.02) | 75.15% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.72% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.71% | 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.57% |
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