Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.6) 
-0.86) 
