SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Bromley | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Oldham Athletic | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Maidenhead United | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Southend United | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | -1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Southend United |
30.51% ( 0.6) | 26.86% ( 0.26) | 42.62% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.76) | 54.89% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.63) | 76.18% ( 0.64) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.04) | 32.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.58% ( 0.05) | 69.42% ( -0.05) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.78) | 25.48% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.67% ( -1.08) | 60.33% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.62% |
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