SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
52.1% ( 0.45) | 24.39% ( -0.14) | 23.51% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( 0.25) | 49.55% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( 0.22) | 71.58% ( -0.23) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0.27) | 18.99% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( 0.45) | 50.54% ( -0.45) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( -0.14) | 35.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% ( -0.15) | 72.43% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.51% |
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