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National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road
AT

Ebbsfleet
2 - 0
Aldershot

Domi (31'), Poleon (68')
Chapman (20'), Wakely (61'), O'Neill (66'), Poleon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (4'), Harries (42'), O'Keefe (49')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Solihull
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 5-1 Aldershot
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawAldershot Town
61.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 20.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 17.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.69% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)64.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)13.09% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)39.7% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)36.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.004999999999999 0)73.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 61.39%
    Aldershot Town 17.75%
    Draw 20.85%
EbbsfleetDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.85%
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 17.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Solihull
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 5-0 Hungerford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oldham 5-1 Aldershot
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 5-2 Oxford City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Altrincham
Saturday, April 29 at 6.15pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-2 Aldershot
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League


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