SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
61.4% ( -0.02) | 20.85% ( 0.01) | 17.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( -0.02) | 41.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.02) | 64.09% ( 0.02) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -0.01) | 13.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( -0.03) | 39.7% ( 0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( 0) | 36.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( 0) | 73.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 17.75% |
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