SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
68.86% ( 0.18) | 17.97% ( -0.12) | 13.17% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.27% ( 0.43) | 37.73% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.03% ( 0.46) | 59.97% ( -0.46) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( 0.16) | 9.94% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.11% ( 0.37) | 32.89% ( -0.37) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( 0.19) | 40.48% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( 0.17) | 77.09% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.86% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 13.17% |
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