Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
