SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidstone United |
78.34% ( -0.11) | 13.53% ( 0.07) | 8.12% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.25) | 31.09% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.5% ( -0.29) | 52.49% ( 0.29) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.66% ( -0.08) | 6.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.19% ( -0.2) | 23.8% ( 0.2) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.11) | 45.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( -0.08) | 81.07% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 78.33% | 1-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.54% | 1-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 8.12% |
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