SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
49.09% ( -0.73) | 23.84% ( 0.4) | 27.07% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -1.54) | 44.13% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -1.51) | 66.51% ( 1.51) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.86) | 18.09% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.98% ( -1.5) | 49.02% ( 1.5) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.55) | 29.81% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.67) | 65.89% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.07% |
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