Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
