Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
