SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
57.04% ( -0.13) | 22.91% ( 0.03) | 20.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0.02) | 47.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -0.02) | 69.48% ( 0.02) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( -0.05) | 16.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( -0.1) | 45.92% ( 0.09) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( 0.09) | 37.72% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% ( 0.09) | 74.5% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.03% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.05% |
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