SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Gateshead | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Aldershot Town | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Southend United | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Halifax Town | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | -5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Halifax Town |
24.11% ( -0.07) | 25.51% ( -0.26) | 50.37% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( 0.93) | 53.44% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% ( 0.78) | 74.97% ( -0.78) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.45) | 37.25% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( 0.44) | 74.04% ( -0.44) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.53) | 21.23% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.81) | 54.14% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.11% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.36% |
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