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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
29.28% ( -0.01) | 23.37% ( -0) | 47.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0) | 40.44% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0) | 62.82% ( -0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.01) | 26.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0) | 17.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( 0.01) | 47.73% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.28% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 47.35% |
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