Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
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