Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
