Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
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