Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
