SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
34.51% ( 0.02) | 25.1% ( 0.01) | 40.39% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( -0.05) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.05) | 68.66% ( 0.05) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.01) | 26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.02) | 61.02% ( 0.01) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.04) | 22.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.06) | 56.55% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.51% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.39% |
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