Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
