SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Notts County |
11.58% ( 0.02) | 15.32% ( 0.01) | 73.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.44% ( -0.01) | 28.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.01) | 49.44% ( 0.01) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( 0.03) | 36.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( 0.03) | 73.44% ( -0.03) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.25% ( -0.01) | 6.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.05% ( -0.02) | 24.95% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.58% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.32% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 8.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.95% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.74% 2-5 @ 1.48% 1-6 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.32% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 73.11% |
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