SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 87.52%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.05%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Notts County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Wealdstone |
87.52% ( 0.06) | 8.63% ( -0.03) | 3.85% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.04) | 24.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.11% ( 0.05) | 44.89% ( -0.05) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.32% ( 0.01) | 3.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.18% ( 0.05) | 15.82% ( -0.05) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.15% ( -0.08) | 53.85% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.82% ( -0.05) | 87.18% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 3-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.8% 4-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 6.08% 5-1 @ 4.02% ( 0)6-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 87.51% | 1-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 8.63% | 1-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 3.85% |
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