SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
61.16% ( -0.04) | 18.14% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 70.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.94% ( -0.11) | 43.05% ( 0.1) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.21% ( -0.03) | 7.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.34% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.07) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.04) | 23.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.06) | 57.07% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 4.69% Total : 61.16% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.14% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 20.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
