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National League | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
NC

Wrexham
3 - 2
Notts County

Mullin (48'), Mendy (69'), Lee (78')
O'Connor (32'), Mullin (43'), Mendy (63'), Lee (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bostock (45+4'), Cameron (75')
Rawlinson (40'), Palmer (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Wrexham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Wealdstone
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.16%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawNotts County
61.16% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 18.14% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 20.69% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 70.83% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.4% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)23.59% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.94% (-0.108 -0.11)43.05% (0.104 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)7.78% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.34% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)27.65% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.18% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)57.07% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 61.16%
    Notts County 20.69%
    Draw 18.14%
WrexhamDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.88% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 61.16%
1-1 @ 6.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.8% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.14%
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 20.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Wrexham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 5-1 Oldham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Wealdstone
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 0-2 Notts County
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 11 at 5.20pm in National League


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