Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
36.75% ( -1.44) | 24.87% ( 0.5) | 38.38% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 58.2% ( -1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.92% ( -2.4) | 45.08% ( 2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% ( -2.35) | 67.43% ( 2.34) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -1.84) | 24.14% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -2.68) | 58.45% ( 2.68) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -0.59) | 23.28% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -0.87) | 57.21% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38% |
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