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National League | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park
D&

Oldham
4 - 2
Dag & Red

Sheron (56'), Yarney (60'), Nuttall (90' pen.), Chapman (90+5')
Nuttall (27'), (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morias (29'), Robinson (84')
Onariase (59'), Effiong (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oldham 0-1 Halifax
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge

Although Oldham find themselves just outside the relegation zone, they will be confident of claiming all three points on home soil, having won two of their last four National League games. Given that Dagenham & Redbridge have only taken four points from their previous five league outings, the visitors look set to suffer a third successive defeat on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawDagenham & Redbridge
36.75% (-1.439 -1.44) 24.87% (0.499 0.5) 38.38% (0.939 0.94)
Both teams to score 58.2% (-1.868 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-2.399 -2.4)45.08% (2.399 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-2.346 -2.35)67.43% (2.344 2.34)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-1.835 -1.84)24.14% (1.833 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-2.68 -2.68)58.45% (2.678 2.68)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.592 -0.59)23.28% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.871 -0.87)57.21% (0.868 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 36.75%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 38.38%
    Draw 24.87%
Oldham AthleticDrawDagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.394 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.558 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.684 0.68)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.148 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oldham 0-1 Halifax
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 York City
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-5 Oldham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Notts County
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 Oldham
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-2 Yeovil
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-2 Dag & Red
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-2 Woking
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Dag & Red
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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