Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
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