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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.04%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Notts County |
21.97% ( -0.34) | 20.5% ( -0.13) | 57.52% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 63.51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.38% ( 0.18) | 33.61% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.57% ( 0.2) | 55.43% ( -0.2) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.18) | 28.12% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.23) | 63.79% ( 0.23) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( 0.19) | 11.65% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( 0.4) | 36.69% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.43% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 57.52% |
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