SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
62.96% ( 0.14) | 20.37% ( -0.01) | 16.67% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( -0.17) | 41.43% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( -0.17) | 63.83% ( 0.18) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( -0.01) | 12.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.39% ( -0.03) | 38.61% ( 0.03) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% ( -0.25) | 38.09% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( -0.25) | 74.86% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.67% |
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