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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
36.71% ( -0.04) | 25.35% ( 0) | 37.94% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0.01) | 47.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( -0.01) | 69.49% ( 0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.02) | 25.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( -0.03) | 59.88% ( 0.03) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( 0.02) | 24.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.05% ( 0.02) | 58.95% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.94% |
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