SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Halifax Town | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bromley | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Maidstone United | 8 | -6 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Eastleigh |
41.47% ( -1.4) | 24.61% ( 0.03) | 33.92% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.29) | 44.28% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( 0.28) | 66.66% ( -0.28) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.53) | 21.4% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( -0.82) | 54.39% ( 0.82) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 0.96) | 25.36% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 1.3) | 60.16% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.92% |
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