SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
26.11% ( -0.28) | 24.64% ( -0.04) | 49.25% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( -0.04) | 48.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( -0.03) | 70.49% ( 0.03) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0.24) | 32.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( -0.27) | 69.35% ( 0.27) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.12) | 19.67% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( 0.19) | 51.65% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.25% |
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