SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Woking |
19.4% ( -2.88) | 22.49% ( -1.25) | 58.11% ( 4.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( 1.69) | 46.41% ( -1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( 1.57) | 68.69% ( -1.57) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% ( -1.95) | 37.94% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% ( -1.94) | 74.71% ( 1.94) |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( 2.06) | 15.67% ( -2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.28% ( 3.68) | 44.72% ( -3.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Woking |
| 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.59)2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.4% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.66)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.8)1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.4)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.1% |
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