SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Barnet |
21.84% ( -0.25) | 21.82% ( 0.03) | 56.34% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.47) | 40.14% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.49) | 62.5% ( 0.49) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.49) | 31.94% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( -0.56) | 68.39% ( 0.56) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( -0.09) | 14.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.24% ( -0.18) | 41.76% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 21.84% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.34% |
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