SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Oxford City |
56.5% ( 0.38) | 22.7% ( -0.14) | 20.79% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.29) | 45.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( 0.27) | 67.74% ( -0.28) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.23) | 15.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% ( 0.42) | 45.07% ( -0.43) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( -0.08) | 35.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( -0.08) | 72.69% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.8% |
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