Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
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