Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
1.09) 
-0.53) 
