SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Halifax Town |
45.45% ( 0.42) | 26.36% ( -0.14) | 28.18% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( 0.4) | 53.96% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 0.34) | 75.41% ( -0.34) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( 0.38) | 23.67% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( 0.54) | 57.78% ( -0.54) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% | 34.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( 0) | 70.8% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.18% |
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