Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
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