SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Chesterfield |
31.44% ( 0.31) | 23.75% ( 0.07) | 44.8% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( -0.21) | 41.13% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.21) | 63.52% ( 0.21) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.09) | 25.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 0.12) | 60.11% ( -0.12) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0.24) | 18.63% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -0.4) | 49.93% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 44.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
